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Scouting Report: Nate Dohm, RHP

by Mick Lite
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Player Information

  • Name: Nate Dohm

  • Position: Right-Handed Pitcher

  • Age: 22 (Born 2003)

  • Height/Weight: 6’4”, 210 lbs

  • Bats/Throws: R/R

  • Acquired: Trade from New York Mets, July 30, 2025, with INF Jesus Baez and RHP Frank Elissalt for RHP Ryan Helsley

  • Draft: 3rd Round (82nd overall), 2024 MLB Draft by New York Mets out of Mississippi State University

  • ETA: 2027

Background

Nate Dohm began his college career at Ball State University in 2022, where he appeared in 15 games (3 starts) as a freshman, posting a 5.71 ERA over 41.0 innings with 56 strikeouts and 26 walks. Seeking a better fit, he transferred to Mississippi State University for the 2023 season, where he pitched primarily in relief, recording a 4.07 ERA over 42.0 innings with 49 strikeouts and 12 walks. In 2024, Dohm transitioned to a starting role, showing early dominance with a 1.50 ERA and 32/4 K/BB ratio in his first four starts (24.0 innings). However, a forearm strain sidelined him for a month, and recurring discomfort limited him to 29.1 innings for the season, finishing with a 1.23 ERA, 37 strikeouts, and 4 walks. The Mets selected him in the third round of the 2024 MLB Draft, signing him for $797,500 (below the $934,800 slot value). In 2025, Dohm pitched in the Mets’ Low-A and High-A affiliates, posting a combined 2.65 ERA over 54.1 innings with 67 strikeouts before being traded to the Cardinals.

Scouting Grades (20-80 Scale)

  • Fastball: 55

  • Slider: 55

  • Curveball: 50

  • Changeup: 40

  • Control: 55

  • Overall Future Potential (OFP): 45 (High Risk)

Pitch Arsenal

  • Fastball (55): Dohm’s primary pitch is a four-seam fastball sitting 93-95 mph, touching 96-98 mph at peak. It features impressive riding life and induced vertical break, making it effective up in the zone. The pitch generates swing-and-miss when located high, but its effectiveness wanes if left lower in the zone.

  • Slider (55): His mid-80s slider is his best secondary pitch, with short, sharp, two-plane gyroscopic break that tunnels well with his fastball. It shows above-average potential and is effective against both right- and left-handed hitters.

  • Curveball (50): Dohm’s high-70s to low-80s curveball has 11-5 break and serves as an average-to-above-average offering. It provides a different look compared to his slider but is less consistent.

  • Changeup (40): A recently added mid-to-high-80s changeup is his weakest pitch, lacking significant fade or tumble. Primarily used against left-handed hitters, it remains a work in progress.

Physical and Delivery

Dohm possesses a sturdy, durable 6’4”, 210-pound frame, ideal for a starting pitcher. He throws from a three-quarters arm slot with a simple, repeatable delivery that allows him to pound the strike zone. His cross-bodied stride and loose hips/shoulders contribute to his ability to generate velocity and angle. However, his delivery tweaks in pro ball have slightly reduced the depth of his changeup.

Performance

  • College (2022-2024): Across 112.1 innings at Ball State and Mississippi State, Dohm posted a 3.93 ERA with 142 strikeouts (11.4 K/9) and 42 walks (3.4 BB/9). His 2024 season at Mississippi State was cut short by injury, but he showed elite potential with a 32.7% strikeout rate and 3.5% walk rate.

  • Professional (2025): In his first pro season with the Mets’ Low-A and High-A affiliates, Dohm recorded a 2.65 ERA over 54.1 innings with 67 strikeouts (11.1 K/9) and a 2.87 ERA in 17 starts (per X posts, though innings suggest relief or short starts). After being traded to the Cardinals, he had a 4.02 ERA over 62.2 innings with 77 strikeouts and 23 walks, allowing 5 home runs.

Strengths

  • Stuff: Dohm’s fastball-slider combination is above-average, with both pitches showing swing-and-miss potential. His ability to locate these pitches high and low in the zone makes him effective when healthy.

  • Control: After struggling with walks at Ball State (14.8% BB%), Dohm significantly improved his command at Mississippi State and in pro ball, posting a 3.5% walk rate in 2024 and maintaining solid control in 2025.

  • Frame: His 6’4”, 210-pound build suggests durability, though injuries have limited his workload.

  • Work Ethic: Noted for his strong work ethic, Dohm is committed to developing his secondary pitches and building stamina.

Areas of Concern

  • Health: Dohm’s forearm strain in 2024 and recurring discomfort raise significant durability concerns. He also had forearm issues as a sophomore, and his limited workload (max 62.2 innings in 2025) questions his ability to handle a starter’s role long-term.

  • Workload: With only 11 college starts and short outings in pro ball, Dohm lacks experience as a starter. He must prove he can maintain velocity and effectiveness over longer outings.

  • Changeup Development: His changeup is below-average and needs significant improvement to handle left-handed hitters effectively as a starter.

  • Role Uncertainty: Some evaluators project him as a fastball-heavy reliever due to his injury history and limited stamina, though his arsenal and control suggest mid-rotation starter potential if healthy.

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